Mortgage Market CommentaryMortgage backed securities (MBS) prices opened higher, but have since fallen in volatile trading.
MBS markets will close early at 11am pt before the long weekend. A short session can produce sharp price movements. Yesterday investors sold MBS for a variety of reasons: Fed held steady its level of Treasury purchases, possible downgrade of U.S. credit rating, Treasury Department announced $101 billion in auctions next week, meaning additional supply for the market to absorb. Money fled offshore in a rare triple play; Stock markets down, Treasury yields up, and the dollar down. The decline in the dollar, down 0.8%, and with it the risk of inflation gave a boost to commodities, including oil & gold. Demand for commodities as an alternative investment increases as the dollar drops as an inflation hedge.
Average 30yr fixed mortgage rate fell to 4.82% from 4.86% a week earlier as the Fed's program to buy as much as $1.25 trillion in MBS has pushed rates down, twice hitting 4.78% in April. The central bank's purchases from Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac have freed cash for the federally controlled companies to buy more loans from lenders, improving liquidity for homebuyers. No economic data will be released today.
Friday, May 22, 2009
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